This study assessed the impact of climate change on monthly streamflow in Verde River Basin, located Grande Basin headwater. For this purpose, SWAT and VIC hydrological models were used to simulate under RCP4.5 RCP8.5 scenarios, obtained by Regional Climate Models Eta-HadGEM2-ES, Eta-CanESM2 Eta-MIROC5 baseline period (1961-2005) three time-slice (2011-2040, 2041-2070, 2071-2099) inputs. At end...

Water is an essential resource for social and economic development. The availability of this constantly threatened by the rapid increase in its demand. This research assesses current (2010–2016), short- (2017–2040), middle- (2041–2070), long-term (2071–2099) levels water security considering socio-economic climate change scenarios using Evaluation Planning System (WEAP) Vilcanota-Urubamba (VUB)...

Los fitopatógenos y las plagas están entre los primeros indicadores de efectos del cambio climático por sus características poblacionales crecimiento. La roya marrón ( Puccinia melanocephala ) es una enfermedad caña azúcar ampliamente distribuida a nivel mundial. El objetivo este trabajo fue evaluar la distribución espacio-temporal presencia en principales áreas productoras (Tucumán, Salta Juju...

This research studies the effect of climate change on hydrological behavior two semi-arid basins. For this purpose, Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used with simulation future scenarios, one Representative Concentration Pathway moderate (RCP 4.5) other extreme 8.5). Three periods were considered: close (2019–2040), medium (2041–2070), distant (2071–2100). In addition, several cl...

The Pacific region of Colombia is known to be one the most vulnerable changes in precipitation patterns. A study was conducted using standardized index (SPI) analyses understand potential this during 21st century. were historical data from 1950 2005 and projected 2022 2100 under Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) climate scenarios (RCP 4.5 RCP 8.5). results showed that...

Bioclimate alteration unquestionably poses a current but also potential future threat to natural and agricultural ecosystems their services. In this scope, the present bioclimatic footprint of Central European territory is investigated presented. For first time, an ultrahigh spatial resolution (<250 m) de Martonne index analyzed over entire area, as well for individual countries (Austria, Sw...

Climate change can cause significant shifts in the occurrence and severity of agricultural diseases, altering distribution phytosanitary problems with severe economic, social, environmental consequences. Despite their importance, these new geographic temporal distributions plant diseases still demand scrutiny. In present study, we prospect sugarcane brown rust (Puccinia melanocephala) consideri...

In this study, the present bioclimatic conditions and estimated changes of bioclimate over natural agricultural areas Adriatic territory (Albania, Bosnia Herzegovina, Croatia, Italy, Montenegro, Slovenia) are analysed presented. For purpose, a survey on De Martonne’s categories’ spatial distribution entire examined area individual countries is conducted for reference period (1981–2010) three mo...